Evaluating the Socio-Economic Influence of the National Social Investment Programme (NSIP) on Children, Youth, and Women in Nigeria

This study investigates the impact of Nigeria’s National Social Investment Programme (NSIP), to alleviate poverty and build human capital through four core components: Conditional Cash Transfers (CCT), N-Power, Government Enterprise and Empowerment Programme (GEEP), and the Home-Grown School Feeding (HGSF) scheme. Using a mixed-methods design, the study surveyed 4,620 households, 1,000 micro-enterprises, and 120 schools across Nigeria’s six geopolitical zones, while incorporating key informant interviews and focus group discussions with programme administrators and beneficiaries. Quantitative analysis (Regression) was complemented with qualitative insights to capture programme effectiveness and challenges. Findings reveal that CCT recipients experienced improved household consumption, food security, and access to health and education services, while the HGSF programme significantly boosted school attendance and nutritional outcomes. N-Power enhanced youth employ-ability and skills development, though limited absorption into permanent employment reduced long-term benefits. Similarly, GEEP provided critical micro credit support to small enterprises but faced governance and repayment challenges. Across all components, women’s empowerment outcomes were evident, particularly in decision-making and financial autonomy. Nevertheless, the study highlights major constraints, including inadequate coverage, irregular disbursements, weak grievance redress mechanisms, and inflation-driven erosion of cash transfer value. Governance challenges, exemplified by the 2024 programme suspension over financial irregularities, further undermine credibility and impact. The study concludes that while NSIP contributes positively to welfare and social protection in Nigeria, its sustainability and long-term effectiveness depend on strengthening governance, scaling coverage, indexing transfers to inflation, and integrating complementary livelihood initiatives. Keywords: National Social Investment Programme (NSIP); Conditional Cash Transfer; Social Protection; Poverty Alleviation; Human Capital; Governance; Nigeria.